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Waaree Renewables
Q4FY26 Power April 17, 2026
Management Sentiment
7.0/10
Tailwinds
8.0/10
Headwinds
5.0/10
Business Performance Highlights
Executive Summary

Waaree Renewables delivered strong FY26 results with 108.5% revenue growth to INR 3,331.4 crores and executed a record 2,727 MW of projects. The company maintains a healthy order book of 2.83 GW and is expanding into battery energy storage systems (BESS), positioning itself well in India's accelerating solar market which added 44 GW in FY26. While execution capability remains strong, concerns exist around declining quarterly execution rates, modest order inflows despite industry growth, and margin sustainability questions.

Financial Performance

FY26 financial performance was exceptionally strong with revenue from operations of INR 3,331.42 crores, representing 108.51% YoY growth from FY25. EBITDA reached INR 641.1 crores (up 106.21% YoY) with margin of 19.24%, while PAT stood at INR 478.65 crores (up 109.09% YoY). Q4FY26 specifically showed revenue of INR 1,102.4 crores (131.31% YoY growth), EBITDA of INR 206.82 crores with 18.76% margin, and PAT of INR 155.72 crores (66.08% YoY growth). The quarter's higher realization of approximately INR 2 crores per MW was attributed to 50% of revenue coming from orders including module supply. Most receivables are less than 6 months with many secured by letters of credit. The company is funding its IPP expansion (currently under CWIP) through internal accruals without debt, maintaining its asset-light model for the core EPC business.

Revenue
INR 3,331.42 crores for FY26; INR 1,102.4 crores for Q4FY26
Revenue Growth
108.51% YoY for FY26; 131.31% YoY for Q4FY26
Net Profit
INR 478.65 crores for FY26; INR 155.72 crores for Q4FY26
Profit Growth
109.09% YoY for FY26; 66.08% YoY for Q4FY26
EBITDA Margin
19.24% for FY26; 18.76% for Q4FY26
Management Commentary

Management displayed confidence about the company's execution capabilities and market positioning, emphasizing their disciplined approach to order selection based on suitable margins and project requirements. They consistently highlighted maintaining EBITDA margins above 19% for two consecutive years while setting a conservative threshold of 15% for bidding purposes, suggesting operational efficiency gains above baseline expectations. The team emphasized their diversified revenue model across EPC, O&M, and IPP segments, with strategic focus on building smaller IPP assets for steady recurring revenue rather than aggressive asset ownership. Management showed cautious optimism about the order pipeline, acknowledging 36 GW of opportunities in bilateral discussions but careful not to over-commit on conversion timelines. They positioned the company as selective in tender participation, only bidding when projects meet their margin and execution requirements, indicating pricing discipline over market share aggression.

Risks & Challenges Discussed

Several challenges emerged during the call. The order book declined from 3.2 GW to 2.83 GW YoY despite strong industry growth of 44 GW installations, raising questions about market share and competitive positioning. Quarterly execution rates showed weakness, declining from 700-900 MW in H1 to under 500 MW in Q4, attributed to project mix but concerning for momentum. Land acquisition for ground-mounted projects remains a sector-wide challenge, with approximately 60 GW of RE projects in Rajasthan awaiting clarity on evacuation infrastructure and substation coordinates according to CTYL representation. The company faces margin sustainability questions with Q4 EBITDA margin at 18.76% versus higher historical levels, though management maintains this is project-mix dependent. Competition appears to be intensifying with new entrants potentially bidding aggressively. The company's IPP expansion represents a strategic shift from their asset-light model, requiring capital deployment of approximately INR 700-800 crores (227 MW at INR 3-3.5 crores/MW) which could strain capital allocation. Module pricing volatility due to ALMM regulations (expected increase from INR 14/watt to INR 23/watt) creates uncertainty, though management claims pass-through ability. Working capital increased significantly with receivables and inventory doubling, reflecting project scaling but requiring monitoring.

Forward Guidance

Revenue Outlook: Management did not provide specific revenue guidance but indicated the 2.83 GW order book would be executed over 12-15 months, with additional orders expected during FY27 to maintain growth trajectory

Margin Outlook: Management maintains 15% EBITDA margin as internal threshold for bidding, but has consistently delivered above 19% through operational efficiency. Expects to maintain margins in the 15%+ range with efforts toward sustained 19%+ levels through discipline and operational improvements

Key Targets:

Key Takeaways from the Call
What Went Well
  • Record execution of 2,727 MW in FY26 demonstrates strong operational capability and scaling ability
  • Consistent EBITDA margin delivery above 19% for two consecutive years despite 15% internal threshold suggests pricing power and operational efficiency
  • India's solar market accelerating with 44 GW additions in FY26 versus 23.8 GW in FY25, with solar representing 82% of renewable installations
  • 36 GW order pipeline in bilateral discussions provides strong medium-term visibility beyond current 2.83 GW order book
  • O&M portfolio of 1.18 GW creates stable recurring revenue stream and long-term customer relationships
  • Most receivables are less than 6 months with many secured by letters of credit, indicating strong working capital management and customer quality
  • BESS segment opening as new revenue stream with first project under execution and multiple inquiries
  • Asset-light model maintained for core EPC business with IPP expansion funded entirely through internal accruals without debt
Areas of Concern
  • Order book declined from 3.2 GW to 2.83 GW YoY despite industry adding 44 GW, suggesting potential market share loss or increased competition
  • Quarterly execution rate weakened from 700-900 MW in H1 to under 500 MW in Q4FY26, raising concerns about momentum
  • Q4 EBITDA margin of 18.76% lower than historical Q4 margins of 25%+, indicating potential margin pressure
  • Order inflows of 2.3 GW in FY26 versus 2.4 GW in FY25 shows slight decline despite massive industry growth
  • Working capital pressure with receivables and inventory doubling, requiring careful monitoring despite management's assurances
  • Approximately 60 GW of RE projects in Rajasthan awaiting evacuation infrastructure clarity could delay new project awards in key market
  • IPP expansion requires INR 700-800 crores capital deployment representing departure from asset-light model and capital allocation risk
  • Limited specific guidance on order conversion timelines or revenue targets creates uncertainty about FY27 growth trajectory
Analyst Q&A Highlights
Q: Why has the order book declined from 3.2 GW to 2.8 GW YoY when the industry added 44 GW capacity?
A: "Management explained that despite executing 2.7 GW, they received 2.3 GW of new orders maintaining book at similar levels. They are tracking 36 GW pipeline in bilateral discussions (23 GW domestic, 12 GW international) and expect conversions in coming quarters. They emphasized selective participation in tenders based on suitable margins."
Q: The implied realization in Q4 was very high at ~INR 2 crores per MW. Is this recurring or one-time?
A: "Management clarified this was due to project mix, with approximately 50% of Q4 revenue coming from orders including module supply. Normal realization ranges from INR 1-1.25 crores per MW depending on scope. The high Q4 number was not indicative of future run-rate."
Q: What is the margin outlook given Q4 was 18.76% versus historical 25%+ in Q4, and increased competition?
A: "Management maintained that 15% EBITDA margin is their internal threshold for bidding, but they have consistently delivered 19%+ through operational efficiency and disciplined execution. Quarterly variations depend on customer mix and project scope. They expect to maintain 15%+ with efforts toward 19%+ levels, but emphasized 15% as the conservative guidance."
Q: What is the thought process behind IPP expansion given your historically asset-light model?
A: "Management explained IPP provides steady recurring revenue stream to complement lumpy EPC business. The 54 MW operational plus 227 MW under construction will remain relatively small compared to core EPC revenue. All IPP CapEx funded through internal accruals without debt, maintaining financial flexibility. IPP revenue currently INR 26 crores annually from 54 MW."
Q: Are you seeing any impact from Rajasthan evacuation issues where 60 GW projects await substation clarity?
A: "Management stated their existing 2.83 GW order book is not impacted as customers have already secured evacuation before awarding EPC contracts. They acknowledged it takes 12-15 months for developers to complete studies and secure connectivity, but by the time orders reach them, these issues are resolved. No immediate impact on execution."
Call Summary

The Q&A session revealed analyst concerns focused on three main areas: order inflow weakness relative to industry growth, margin sustainability, and strategic direction with IPP expansion. Multiple analysts questioned why order book declined YoY despite 44 GW of industry installations, with management consistently pointing to their 36 GW pipeline and selective bidding approach. Margin questions dominated with analysts noting Q4's 18.76% versus historical 25%+ levels in prior Q4s - management emphasized project mix variability but maintained confidence in 15%+ sustainable margins through operational efficiency, though they've delivered 19%+ for two years. The IPP expansion drew questions about departure from asset-light strategy, with management positioning it as a complementary recurring revenue stream funded without debt. Analysts also probed execution rate declines, working capital increases, and impact of evacuation infrastructure issues in Rajasthan. Management remained confident throughout but provided limited specific forward guidance, focusing instead on execution capability and disciplined approach. The defensive tone on order inflows and the lack of strong visibility into conversion timelines for the 36 GW pipeline suggested some near-term uncertainty, though long-term sector tailwinds remain intact. Overall, management successfully defended the quarter's performance but failed to fully alleviate concerns about competitive positioning and growth acceleration in FY27.

IMPORTANT:
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