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AYE Finance
Q3FY26 NBFC March 06, 2026
Management Sentiment
8.0/10
Tailwinds
8.0/10
Headwinds
4.0/10
Business Performance Highlights
Executive Summary

iFinance (AYE Finance) delivered a strong Q3 FY26 with 23.5% YoY AUM growth to INR 5,773 crores and 87% YoY PAT growth to INR 43 crores, demonstrating resilience in their unique unorganized micro-SME lending model. Management expressed high confidence with improving collection efficiencies (99.4% in Feb'26), declining credit costs (down to 4.69% from elevated levels), and provided ambitious 3-year guidance of 30% AUM growth with 4-4.5% ROA targets, supported by expanding mortgage portfolio (21% of book) and strong branch productivity gains.

Financial Performance

Total income for Q3 FY26 was INR 449 crores, growing 21.3% YoY and 5% QoQ. PAT reached INR 43 crores, up 87% YoY and 23.4% QoQ (absorbing a one-time INR 1.7 crore impact from labor law changes). NIMs remained stable at 14.21% despite increasing mortgage mix. Cost of borrowing declined to 10.96% with incremental cost at 10.31%. Credit costs showed consistent quarterly decline, reaching 4.69% (INR 83 crores) in Q3 from elevated levels, with management targeting to reach normalized 3.25-3.75% range. AUM stood at INR 5,773 crores as of Dec'25, further strengthened by post-IPO net worth of INR 1,773 crores plus INR 710 crores primary raise. GNPA levels are marginally lower than Par-90 at 5.65% for hypothecation loans and 2.69% for mortgage loans. Par-30 stood at 7.54% for hypothecation and 3.5% for mortgage loans.

Revenue
INR 449 crores total income in Q3 FY26
Revenue Growth
21.3% YoY, 5% QoQ
Net Profit
INR 43 crores PAT in Q3 FY26 (after absorbing INR 1.7 crores one-time labor law impact)
Profit Growth
87% YoY, 23.4% QoQ
EBITDA Margin
N/A
Management Commentary

Management displayed strong confidence throughout the call, emphasizing their differentiated business model targeting unorganized micro-scale businesses (67 million enterprises) that are underserved by traditional lenders. MD Sanjay Sharma highlighted three key competitive moats: proprietary cluster-based underwriting methodology (since 2014), extensive branch presence for collections (527 branches), and technology optimization for low unit economics (typical loan size INR 1-2 lakhs). Management stressed that their customers are business owners (manufacturing, trading, dairy, services) not consumption borrowers or self-employed workers, making the portfolio resilient to macro shocks like tariffs and organized sector impacts. They emphasized improving trends across all metrics - collection efficiency, credit costs, and profitability - positioning the company to deliver on ambitious 3-year targets of 30% CAGR growth, 3.25-3.75% credit costs, 7-7.5% OpEx ratio, and 4-4.5% ROA with adequate leverage. Management was transparent about FY26 profit headwinds from mortgage team build-out (1,300+ people added) and elevated credit costs, but confident these are normalizing.

Risks & Challenges Discussed

The primary challenge is elevated credit costs at 4.69%, still ~100bps above the company's normalized 3.25-3.75% target range, though declining for four consecutive quarters. Bihar represents 15.5% of AUM concentration with ongoing concerns around the new microfinance ordinance, though management noted their business loan customers show 99.3-99.4% collection efficiency versus stressed MFI consumption loans. Bihar's bucket-1 collection efficiency is lower at 40% compared to other states due to a newly instituted collection team (4 months old). Operating expense ratios remain elevated due to significant mortgage team investment (1,300+ people) against only INR 1,400 crores mortgage book, creating drag on profitability until scale is achieved. Approval rates have been tightened to 42-43% from historical 55%, limiting near-term growth in hypothecation loans. Mortgage business faces competitive supply in the market with multiple established players. The company's small average ticket size (INR 1-2 lakhs) creates unit economics challenges requiring significant technology investment. Geographic concentration risk exists with some states representing meaningful portions of the portfolio. NPA levels remain elevated with Par-90 at 5.95% for hypothecation loans versus pre-crisis levels.

Forward Guidance

Revenue Outlook: On track to achieve 29-30% AUM growth for full FY26, targeting consistent 30% CAGR over next 3 years

Margin Outlook: NIMs expected to stabilize despite mortgage mix increase, supported by declining reversals (25-40bps improvement potential) and lower incremental borrowing costs (10.31%); OpEx ratio to decline as mortgage business scales and operating leverage kicks in

Key Targets:

Key Takeaways from the Call
What Went Well
  • Strong momentum in Q4 with Jan-Feb'26 showing accelerated disbursements and improving productivity metrics
  • Collection efficiency at near-peak levels: 99.4% non-OD bucket and improving 60% bucket-1 (vs 42.8% in April)
  • Credit costs declining for 4 consecutive quarters from elevated levels, with Q4 expected below 4% annualized
  • Mortgage portfolio scaling rapidly to INR 1,350 crores (21% of book) with dedicated 1,300+ team creating operating leverage as it reaches 30% target
  • Branch productivity driving 60% of growth without requiring proportional branch expansion (only 44 new branches in FY26)
  • Strong competitive moats: proprietary cluster-based underwriting (since 2014), 527 branch physical presence, technology stack with 100% paperless origination
  • Management provided confident 3-year guidance (30% CAGR, 4-4.5% ROA) indicating visibility on normalization
  • Repeat loan engine highly efficient with low 3.33% foreclosure rate and telecaller model generating INR 1.8 crores monthly
Areas of Concern
  • Credit costs still elevated at 4.69%, approximately 100bps above normalized 3.25-3.75% target range
  • Bihar concentration at 15.5% of AUM with regulatory uncertainty around new microfinance ordinance
  • Operating expense ratio pressured by 1,300+ mortgage team members against only INR 1,400 crores mortgage book, creating near-term profitability drag
  • Approval rates deliberately tightened to 42-43% from historical 55%, constraining hypothecation loan growth in near term
  • Par-90 and GNPA levels remain elevated (5.95% hypothecation) versus pre-crisis normalized levels
  • Mortgage business faces competitive market with multiple established players offering similar products at competitive rates
  • Bihar bucket-1 collection efficiency lagging at 40% vs other states, attributed to new collection team but indicating execution challenges
  • Small ticket size (INR 1-2 lakhs) creates inherent unit economics pressure requiring continuous technology investment to maintain profitability
Analyst Q&A Highlights
Q: What is the target mortgage mix and credit cost guidance for FY27?
A: "Management targets mortgage to reach 30% of portfolio (currently 21%). Credit costs expected to normalize to 3.25-3.75% range in FY27 from current 4.69%, with Q4 FY26 expected below 4% annualized. Exact FY27 guidance to be provided in next earnings call."
Q: What is the impact of Bihar's draft microfinance ordinance on the business?
A: "Management expressed confidence with minimal impact expected, citing: (1) Their customers are business owners not consumption borrowers, maintaining 99.3-99.4% collection efficiency in Bihar despite MFI stress; (2) Similar ordinances in Karnataka and Tamil Nadu had minimal impact on non-MFI NBFCs; (3) Bihar represents 15.5% of AUM, manageable even if challenges arise."
Q: With mortgage mix increasing and cost of borrowing declining, where will NIMs settle in FY27?
A: "Management noted offsetting factors: mortgage growth will pressure yields down, but elevated reversals (25-40bps higher currently) should normalize as delinquency improves, partially offsetting the yield compression. Yields actually improved QoQ despite mortgage mix increase. Specific FY27 NIM guidance deferred to next call."
Q: When will growth rates accelerate in the hypothecation book given current stress?
A: "Management seeing momentum build in Q4 with Jan-Feb productivity improvements. Approval rates have been tightened to 42-43% from 55% over past 18 months. As credit normalizes and approval rates return to 55%, this provides automatic 10%+ organic growth. Hypothecation should contribute significantly to FY27 growth alongside mortgage expansion."
Q: How do you monitor end-use of loans to ensure business lending vs consumption?
A: "Multi-layered approach: (1) In-house loan officers verify actual business during origination; (2) Credit officers field visit to confirm manufacturing/trading operations; (3) Post-disbursement verification within 45 days to check asset purchase/inventory increase; (4) Loan sizing based on business cash flows (typical INR 1-2 lakhs for INR 30 lakh-1 crore turnover businesses); (5) Mortgage kept at 30% limit to avoid consumption lending trap."
Call Summary

The Q&A session focused primarily on three themes: (1) growth trajectory and normalization timeline, with analysts probing when hypothecation loan growth will recover and how mortgage scaling will drive overall 30% CAGR targets; (2) asset quality improvement sustainability, with multiple questions on credit cost normalization path, collection efficiency trends, and state-wise performance especially Bihar; and (3) profitability outlook given moving parts of declining credit costs, mortgage mix impact on yields, and operating leverage from mortgage team investment. Analysts were particularly focused on Bihar's 15.5% AUM concentration and potential regulatory risk from the draft ordinance, though management confidently dismissed concerns citing their business loan model's resilience versus MFI consumption lending. Questions also explored the competitive dynamics in mortgage lending and end-use monitoring given the unorganized nature of customers. Management responded with detailed operational metrics, demonstrating strong command of business drivers and consistently emphasizing their differentiated positioning targeting unorganized micro-scale business owners rather than consumption borrowers or MFI-type customers. The tone was constructive with management providing transparent context on near-term profitability headwinds (mortgage team costs, elevated credit costs) while expressing high confidence in 3-year targets based on visible normalization trends in collection efficiency and credit costs. Overall, analysts appeared reassured by granular operational metrics and management's articulation of competitive moats, though some caution remained around elevated credit costs and Bihar concentration.

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